1. Topic-
 Probability
2. Content-
 DAP.14.2.1 Identify the purpose for data collection and collect, organize, record and display the data using physical materials (pictographs, Venn diagrams and vertical and horizontal bar graphs. DAP.17.2.1 Describe the probability of an event as being more, less, and equally likely to occur.
3. Goals: Aims/Outcomes-
 1.Students will be able to define probability; predict, record, and discuss outcomes from a random drawing; and identify most likely and least likely outcomes. Each student will be able to discuss outcomes of probability with 80% accuracy. 2. Students will be able to record and analyze the data by using a pictograph to record the findings. Each student will report his or her data with an accuracy rate of at least 80%.
4. Objectives-
 1. Students will be able to track the talker while discussing the properties of probability. 2. Students will be able to give each other respect through demonstrating good listening skills while others are talking.
5. Materials and Aids-
 Lesson Plan Shape manipulatives Brown Paper Bag Chart Paper/Poster Board Tape
6. Procedures/Methods-

A. Introduction-

 Is it more likely to have a girl picked than a boy picked to volunteer in this class? Is it more likely to have a person with blue eyes picked more than a person with brown eyes? Probability is a math word for CHANCE!!! The chance that something will happen. Brainstorm ideas in probability in everyday life. Chance that it will rain today. Chance of winning the lottery. Do a reading introduction with the book "Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs." Review ways to collect data. Review tally marks from the previous lesson.

B. Development-

 "When we finish today you will be able to predict, record, and discuss outcomes using a random drawing experiment and identify most likely and least likely outcomes." 1. Have the different shapes on the table for the students to look at. 2. Ask the students what each individual shape is, and what the colors are. 3. After discussing the shapes and colors, put all the shapes into the brown paper bag. 4. Ask the students to predict what they think they will draw out of the bag. 5. Have each student draw a shape out of the bag and physically put their shape onto the graph. 6. After the students have predicted, inferred, and recorded their data onto the graph, discuss what a pictograph is. 7. Help them understand that a PICtograph is like a graph with PICtures.

Accommodations (Differentiated Instruction)-

 Students on various learning levels will receive different extensions and modifications for this lesson. Students that are on a lower learning level can do probability with just using colors, rather than shapes. Also, the students can work in pairs. Students that need higher learning expectations can do probability of the size of the shape, color, and shape type. Each student can be accommodated for this lesson through advancing to a different type of graph to bringing it down to physical and concrete manipulatives.

Checking for understanding-

 Assessment will be used through observation and an extension activity of writing down the probability of students who are right handed and students who are left handed.

Closure-

 1. Have the students write in their learning logs about what they learned during the lesson.

This Lesson Plan is available at (www.teacherjet.com)